Time Predictions Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life
Material type:
ArticleSeries: Publication details: Springer Nature Springer International Publishing [Imprint] 2018Description: 1 electronic resource (110 p.)Content type: - text
- computer
- online resource
- Economics, Finance, Business and Management
- Economics
- Behavioural economics
- Business and Management
- Management and management techniques
- Project management
- Management of specific areas
- Personnel and human resources management
- Business mathematics and systems
- Behavioral
- Behavioral Economics
- Behavioural economics
- Business applications
- Business mathematics & systems
- Experimental Economics
- Human Resource Management
- IT in Business
- Management
- Personnel & human resources management
- Project Management
- Software Management
- human judgement
- open acces
- overoptimism
- time predictions
- uncertainty
Open Access Unrestricted online access star
This book is published open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. Predicting the time needed to complete a project, task or daily activity can be difficult and people frequently underestimate how long an activity will take. This book sheds light on why and when this happens, what we should do to avoid it and how to give more realistic time predictions. It describes methods for predicting time usage in situations with high uncertainty, explains why two plus two is usually more than four in time prediction contexts, reports on research on time prediction biases, and summarizes the evidence in support of different time prediction methods and principles. Based on a comprehensive review of the research, it is the first book summarizing what we know about judgment-based time predictions. Large parts of the book are directed toward people wishing to achieve better time predictions in their professional life, such as project managers, graphic designers, architects, engineers, film producers, consultants, software developers, or anyone else in need of realistic time usage predictions. It is also of benefit to those with a general interest in judgment and decision-making or those who want to improve their ability to predict and plan ahead in daily life.
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Creative Commons Licence http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ by cc
eng
Freely available e-book